Blockbuster’s Big Plan

What do you think; does Blockbuster’s Success Formula have a chance of being saved? The company IS innovating and CEO Anitoco’s recent investor tour was centered around convincing shareholders that the company has a plan to reinvigorate the business… but really, who are they kidding (besides themselves)?

Blockbuster’s innovations are clever and will certainly put some more dollars on the top-line (at least temporarily). These include increasing game rentals (competing with stores such as Gamestop), allowing people to trade-in their old movies, a subscription service to allow people to keep movies indefinitely (to compete with Netflix). Ultimately, the company is saying that it is changing its business from “a place you rent a movie to a brand where you rent buy or trade movies and games, used or new, in-store or online.”

We don’t think its going to be enough. Why? Because there are too many alternatives for renting movies, but the really big show-stopper is a disruptive technology: video on demand. Blockbuster claims that it has certain advantages over video on demand such as a two-month lead on getting new movies. But even this is based on the assumption that movie theaters fear cannibalization of retail sales. And that can change overnight.

Blockbuster’s actions won’t work over the long-term because they aren’t addressing the challenge. In essence they are just extending the old business model which is to have lots of brick and mortar retail outlets providing entertainment-related products for home use. It’s the lock-in to all the real estate that’s killing the company. What will happen when sales drop precipitously due to the rising popularity of streaming video that can be downloaded in the comfort of your home? It’s inevitable.

What else could they do? Stop investing in their dead business model–the current business model is in the Whirlpool and has no future. Instead it can start selling off valuable real estate and use the money to experiment with leading-edge business concepts. What would you do if you were CEO?